Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1103…bb2f
sports · 63 markets active 4d ago
3.0score
+$8,206 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,206 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade ★ In watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$8,206
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses25 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,304
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
Avg bet$1,738
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$5,385
14 days−$14,255
30 days+$3,288
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 09 $847 −$847 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 07 $1,960 −$1,960 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 07 $2,572 −$2,572 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Jun 04 $2,480 +$2,050 +83%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $1,939 −$1,939 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 May 31 $1,970 +$2,408 +122%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $2,313 −$332 -14%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 31 $4,676 −$4,676 -100%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer May 31 $866 −$866 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) May 30 $1,551 −$1,551 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 May 30 $2,944 −$2,944 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) May 30 $1,020 −$1,020 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $6,062 +$7,049 +116%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 28 $1,560 −$1,560 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $430 +$525 +122%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 27 $3,161 −$3,161 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) May 27 $2,708 −$2,708 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 May 26 $1,650 $0 -0%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 May 25 $3,450 +$3,216 +93%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $2,090 +$1,798 +86%
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5) May 25 $980 −$980 -100%
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? May 25 $264 −$264 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $1,658 −$1,658 -100%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $535 −$535 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 25 $276 −$276 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? May 24 $319 +$880 +276%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5 May 24 $3,018 +$2,871 +95%
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5 May 24 $1,836 +$891 +48%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) May 24 $5,124 +$1,673 +33%
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? May 24 $916 +$2,373 +259%
Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 FC Internazionale Milano? May 24 $124 −$124 -100%
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 May 24 $913 −$913 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 24 $2,686 −$2,686 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5 May 23 $799 +$227 +28%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 May 23 $1,930 +$1,293 +67%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1,249 +$755 +60%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $1,255 +$1,587 +126%
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) May 22 $3,302 +$3,163 +96%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score May 22 $1,938 −$1,938 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 May 21 $2,049 +$1,868 +91%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Liverpool FC? May 21 $348 −$348 -100%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC? May 21 $156 −$156 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 May 19 $1,023 +$790 +77%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $4,714 +$3,181 +68%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) May 19 $2,466 +$2,253 +91%
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC? May 19 $300 −$300 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $1,273 −$1,273 -100%
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) May 18 $1,026 −$1,026 -100%
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $464 −$464 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% +$8,477
other 29% −$271
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Netherlands 59¢ $847 3d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 68¢ $5 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 52¢ $1,960 6d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Spurs 54¢ $2,572 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2,480 8d
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? BUY Yes 43¢ $1,939 9d
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 45¢ $1,970 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL No 100¢ $1,981 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 38¢ $1,069 12d
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $4,676 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY No 62¢ $1,243 12d
Spread: Spurs (-11.5) BUY Thunder 20¢ $1,551 14d
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2,944 14d
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Thunder 66¢ $1,020 14d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 30¢ $502 14d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 30¢ $43 14d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 30¢ $30 14d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 30¢ $0 14d
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer BUY Yes 30¢ $291 14d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 45¢ $5,082 15d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $154 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $38 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $19 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $19 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $579 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $3 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 16d
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 56 -17.2% -25.1% 39% 39% -6.5%
≤90d 63 -15.2% -23.3% 40% 40% -2.7%
all 63 -15.2% -23.3% 40% 40% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.3% 40% -2.7%
10% -30.6% 40% -12.1%
15% -37.3% 37% -20.5%
20% -43.5% 35% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 216 history records