Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:42:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x110d…105f crypto 306 markets active 2h ago coverage 30d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$161 (+3%) realized +$161 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate53%162W / 144L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day49.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$142
14 days+$142
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +18.0% +6.8% 55% 55% +5.0%
≤30d 297 +0.2% -9.4% 54% 46% -8.0%
≤90d 306 +0.3% -9.3% 53% 45% -8.0%
all 306 +0.3% -9.3% 53% 45% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 45% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 39% -16.8%
15% -25.9% 32% -24.9%
20% -33.2% 26% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$10 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses162 / 144
Open positions0
Markets (closed)306 / 306
History coverage30d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day49.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 306 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $22 +$26 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 28 $32 +$24 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$14 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 27 $21 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $69 +$20 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $69 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $41 +$39 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $21 −$18 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 26 $32 +$40 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 25 $22 +$34 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 25 $18 −$7 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$34 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 25 $40 −$16 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 25 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 25 $41 +$19 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 25 $41 −$32 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$7 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $23 +$14 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$28 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 25 $8 +$10 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 25 $24 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $24 +$24 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $15 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $29 +$17 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$21 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $16 +$16 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 06 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 06 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 02 $28 −$17 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 02 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 02 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 02 $9 +$6 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 02 $6 +$5 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $13 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $11 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $74 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $34 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $35 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $54 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $34 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $35 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $80 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $72 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1637 history records