Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T11:00:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x110d…32cc crypto 1370 markets active 1h ago coverage 96d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 95d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$464 (-1%) realized −$464 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate55%760W / 610L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day31.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$60
14 days−$60
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,090
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -38.8% -44.6% 0% 0% -44.6%
≤30d 1 -38.8% -44.6% 0% 0% -44.6%
≤90d 1024 -6.2% -15.1% 52% 48% -12.4%
all 1370 -3.3% -12.5% 55% 50% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 50% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 39% -20.7%
15% -28.5% 29% -28.4%
20% -35.5% 20% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$13 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

96d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$464
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses760 / 610
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1370 / 1370
History coverage96d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day31.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1370 Trades
no open positions (81 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 26 $154 −$60 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET May 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 11 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 11 $10 +$10 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 11 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 11 $11 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 11 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 11 $10 +$12 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 11 $11 +$10 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET May 11 $11 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 11 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 11 $12 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 11 $11 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 11 $11 +$9 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 11 $10 +$11 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 11 $11 +$18 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 11 $10 +$11 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 11 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET May 09 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 08 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 08 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 08 $0 $0 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 08 $11 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 08 $11 +$9 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 08 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 08 $11 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 08 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 08 $11 +$10 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 08 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 08 $11 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 08 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 08 $10 +$10 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 08 $11 +$12 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET May 08 $11 +$13 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET May 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $11 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $11 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $22 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 45d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $8 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 46d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 46d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records