trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 0% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 10% | 10% | -10.7% |
| all | 40 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 30% | 15% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.1% | 15% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -32.2% | 15% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -38.8% | 15% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -44.8% | 15% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $985 | $985 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $460 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $520 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $486 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $495 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $66 | −$66 | -100% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $510 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $532 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 18 | $1,055 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 17 | $1,045 | −$1 | -0% |
| Kings vs. Capitals | Apr 06 | $9 | +$7 | +82% |
| Knicks vs. Heat | Nov 17 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Nov 17 | $9 | +$12 | +133% |
| Capitals vs. Hurricanes | Nov 11 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Bruins | Nov 11 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Nov 11 | $11 | +$9 | +82% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Nov 10 | $9 | +$12 | +133% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Sep 22 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jul 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | -1% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Blues | Jan 05 | $102 | +$102 | +100% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Jan 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Flames | Jan 03 | $111 | +$99 | +89% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 02 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Jan 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Jan 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be less than 130,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidentia | Dec 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 02 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $20 | $0 | -2% |