Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:41:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x111f…355b
crypto · 466 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$561 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$561 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$561
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses253 / 274
Open positions0
Markets (closed)527 / 466
History coverage55d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day56.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 527 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$924
7 days−$924
14 days−$924
30 days−$924
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$358
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -51.3% -55.9% 24% 24% -74.7%
≤30d 68 -51.3% -55.9% 24% 24% -74.7%
≤90d 527 -12.1% -20.4% 48% 36% -11.2%
all 527 -12.1% -20.4% 48% 36% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 36% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 32% -19.7%
15% -35.0% 28% -27.5%
20% -41.4% 18% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.61 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records