Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1120…47bf
crypto · 705 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,526 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,745 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$304
Realized−$1,745
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses601 / 96
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions8
Markets (closed)697 / 705
History coverage210d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 8 History 697 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$71
14 days+$106
30 days+$171
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 84¢ 91¢ $181 $196 +$15 (+8%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 91¢ 94¢ $46 $47 +$1 (+3%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 15? No 94¢ 57¢ $44 $27 −$17 (-39%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? No 89¢ 88¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 15? No 96¢ 94¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-3%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 15? No 96¢ 54¢ $12 $6 −$5 (-44%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 15? No 85¢ 45¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-47%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 15? No 75¢ 40¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-47%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Felix Auger-Aliassime 95¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Flyers vs. Hurricanes Flyers 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17? Yes 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 20? No 92¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $210 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $201 +$3 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $76 +$15 +20%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $95 +$2 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $212 +$16 +8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $89 +$7 +8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $93 +$4 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? Jun 12 $120 +$6 +5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $115 +$3 +2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Jun 11 $101 +$17 +17%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $30 +$4 +15%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $83 +$4 +5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $9 $0 +3%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $50 $0 +1%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $15 +$3 +17%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $20 +$3 +13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $111 +$18 +16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $229 +$7 +3%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $265 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 31 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 31 $10 $0 +1%
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $74 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 31 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 31 $55 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 31 $15 +$1 +4%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 31 $100 $0 +0%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 May 30 $25 +$6 +24%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 29 $86 +$17 +20%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 29 $201 +$19 +9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on May 29? May 29 $35 +$5 +16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $20 +$2 +10%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $191 +$13 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $69 −$1 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $46 −$46 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21? May 21 $48 −$3 -7%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche May 21 $50 +$2 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 May 21 $10 +$2 +15%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 May 21 $10 $0 +5%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs May 21 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +2%
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies May 20 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 20 $10 $0 +1%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 20 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 20 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 20 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 20 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 20? May 20 $112 +$9 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 46% −$1,475
crypto 37% −$268
sports 10% −$149
other 4% +$21
tech 3% +$53
world 0% +$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? BUY No 89¢ $18 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 15? BUY No 85¢ $4 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on June 15? BUY No 75¢ $4 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 15? BUY No 96¢ $12 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 15? BUY No 96¢ $7 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 15? BUY No 93¢ $15 1h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 15? BUY No 94¢ $29 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $213 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $210 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 32h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? SELL No 100¢ $204 33h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $85 33h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $42 33h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? BUY No 91¢ $46 33h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 100¢ $91 33h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL No 100¢ $97 33h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $21 33h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 84¢ $34 33h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $8 34h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $100 34h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL No 100¢ $228 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 97¢ $5 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 97¢ $40 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 98¢ $10 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 98¢ $40 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? SELL No 100¢ $96 34h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY No 93¢ $16 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -0.4% -9.9% 93% 20% -5.3%
≤30d 108 +0.3% -9.2% 90% 19% -6.5%
≤90d 318 -12.7% -21.1% 75% 16% -10.9%
all 697 -1.6% -10.9% 86% 13% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.9% 13% -13.2%
10% -19.5% 4% -21.5%
15% -27.2% 2% -29.1%
20% -34.4% 2% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $303.99 · official $305.24 (match) · 3500 history records