trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -6.2% | -15.1% | 44% | 39% | -2.5% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 50% | 40% | -1.4% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 62% | 42% | +2.2% |
| all | 26 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 62% | 42% | +2.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 42% | +2.2% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 38% | -7.5% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 35% | -16.5% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 27% | -24.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $90 | $97 | +$7 (+8%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $40 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $55 | −$45 | -83% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$26 | +52% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$21 | +104% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $33 | +$18 | +54% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$33 | +109% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$40 | +194% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$17 | -56% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$52 | +170% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$21 | +41% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? | May 31 | $85 | +$14 | +16% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026? | May 27 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $10 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | May 08 | $20 | +$9 | +45% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | May 08 | $20 | +$21 | +106% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Mar 26 | $7 | $0 | +7% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? | Mar 26 | $20 | $0 | +1% |