Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:17:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x1123…b4b0 sports 108 markets active 5d ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$1,062 (-68%) realized −$1,062 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -4% what you keep after slip
Net edge-4%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate63%68W / 40L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day2.1pace
Fees−$18est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 80% −$1,103
crypto 20% +$41
other 0% +$3
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +18.0% +6.8% 62% 62% +6.8%
≤30d 29 +18.0% +6.8% 62% 62% +6.8%
≤90d 108 +6.1% -4.0% 63% 50% -71.3%
all 108 +6.1% -4.0% 63% 50% -71.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 50% -71.3%
10% -13.2% 43% -74.0%
15% -21.6% 36% -76.5%
20% -29.3% 30% -78.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 44% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -68% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt -68% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late +3% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$30 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.1 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$1,062
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses68 / 40
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)108 / 108
History coverage62d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 108 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 18 $1 $0 +29%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Za Jun 15 $2 +$3 +134%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa Jun 15 $1 $0 +29%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $2 +$2 +93%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai Jun 15 $1 $0 +20%
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 15 $2 +$1 +70%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Jun 14 $1 +$1 +58%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $1 +$2 +129%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $1 +$3 +262%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $1 +$3 +250%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Jovic/Kessler Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Utsunomiya Brex vs. Diamond Dolphins Jun 13 $1 +$2 +180%
Chiba Jets vs. Gunma Crane Thunders Jun 13 $2 +$3 +152%
AEK vs. BC Rytas May 08 $1 −$1 -99%
KCC Egis vs. Goyang May 08 $1 −$1 -98%
SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings May 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +0%
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25? May 08 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +36%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 08 $2 $0 +3%
Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauff Apr 24 $1 $0 +5%
Madrid Open: Clara Tauson vs Katerina Siniakova Apr 24 $3 $0 -10%
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Yue Yuan Apr 24 $2 +$4 +188%
Madrid Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Marta Kostyuk Apr 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Lucia Bronzetti Apr 23 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season Apr 23 $1 $0 +3%
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 23 $1 $0 +6%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 23 $1 $0 +23%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Prime Leagu Apr 23 $1 +$1 +57%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 22 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 22 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 22 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 22 $2 +$1 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Jovic/Kessler BUY Jovic/Kessler 42¢ $1 5d
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 90¢ $1 5d
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Francesco Forti 44¢ $2 5d
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 31¢ $1 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Tessa Brockmann 77¢ $1 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 77¢ $1 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Ella Seidel 40¢ $1 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Za BUY Renata Zarazua 42¢ $2 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Lulu Sun 40¢ $1 5d
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja BUY Sinja Kraus 45¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 54¢ $1 5d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 58¢ $1 5d
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 55¢ $1 5d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Veronika Erjavec 33¢ $1 5d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 49¢ $1 5d
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Lucia Bronzetti 43¢ $1 5d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 34¢ $1 5d
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti BUY Francesco Forti 42¢ $2 5d
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 27¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Daniel Evans 40¢ $1 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 28¢ $1 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 27¢ $1 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main BUY Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ $1 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ $1 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 58¢ $2 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Josh Hokit 79¢ $1 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 51¢ $2 5d
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $1 5d
AEK vs. BC Rytas BUY AEK 62¢ $1 40d
KCC Egis vs. Goyang BUY Goyang 35¢ $1 40d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.30 · official $2.30 (match) · 198 history records