Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1124…ba7e
crypto · 1137 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$95 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1069 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1139 / 1137
History coverage20d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day60.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$4
14 days−$81
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$95
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $8 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 372 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 1139 -0.8% -10.3% 94% 2% -10.5%
≤90d 1139 -0.8% -10.3% 94% 2% -10.5%
all 1139 -0.8% -10.3% 94% 2% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 2% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -19.0%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.9%
20% -33.9% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.67 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records