Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1125…1d8e
sports · 1147 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$487 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$487 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$487
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses581 / 565
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1146 / 1147
History coverage156d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day14.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 1146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs FaZe 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Lakers 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 76¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 +$14 +466%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $7 +$4 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $13 +$5 +41%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs May 02 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Apr 30 $22 −$22 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 30 $18 +$4 +22%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal Apr 30 $11 +$7 +61%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 30 $15 −$15 -99%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Apr 30 $10 +$5 +50%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 30 $2 −$2 -85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Apr 30 $5 +$2 +37%
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner Apr 29 $5 +$6 +116%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Apr 29 $15 +$1 +7%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $10 +$4 +41%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Apr 29 $7 +$3 +43%
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Apr 29 $11 −$4 -34%
76ers vs. Celtics Apr 29 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europ Apr 27 $13 +$8 +59%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Apr 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors Apr 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 P Apr 26 $29 +$9 +31%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $12 +$9 +76%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $9 +$3 +34%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 26 $6 +$4 +59%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 26 $30 +$6 +18%
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Re Apr 26 $6 +$5 +82%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 26 $6 −$4 -63%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Apr 26 $12 −$4 -36%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Apr 26 $35 +$7 +21%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs Apr 25 $6 +$5 +76%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Pla Apr 25 $3 −$1 -42%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $10 +$4 +42%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $29 +$3 +11%
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Apr 24 $5 +$7 +140%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 P Apr 24 $18 +$4 +20%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Ivory (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A Apr 23 $19 $0 -2%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 23 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Quali Apr 23 $47 −$47 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 21 $31 +$16 +52%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 21 $22 +$8 +34%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Apr 21 $19 +$4 +24%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A Apr 20 $13 +$6 +42%
Magic vs. Pistons Apr 20 $11 +$2 +18%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$462
other 1% −$21
crypto 1% −$4
economics 0% $0
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 76¢ $17 28m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $11 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 29¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 27¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 13¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $7 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $13 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $14 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs BUY FaZe 36¢ $11 42d
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B BUY FURIA 76¢ $22 44d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A SELL Vitality 98¢ $22 44d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A BUY Vitality 80¢ $18 44d
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal SELL KT Rolster Challengers 99¢ $18 44d
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal BUY KT Rolster Challengers 61¢ $11 44d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 10¢ $1 44d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers SELL Cavaliers 100¢ $11 44d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers BUY Cavaliers 61¢ $7 44d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers SELL Raptors 39¢ $4 44d
Magic vs. Pistons SELL Magic 2¢ $0 44d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers BUY Raptors 31¢ $3 44d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B SELL GamerLegion 35¢ $7 44d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 60¢ $14 44d
Magic vs. Pistons BUY Magic 15¢ $2 44d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B BUY GamerLegion 25¢ $5 44d
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner SELL Sentinels 99¢ $11 44d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +83.0% +65.5% 83% 67% +12.6%
≤30d 6 +83.0% +65.5% 83% 67% +12.6%
≤90d 251 -6.0% -15.0% 57% 53% -13.6%
all 1146 -6.1% -15.1% 51% 47% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 47% -15.0%
10% -23.2% 41% -23.2%
15% -30.6% 34% -30.6%
20% -37.4% 26% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.95 · official $5.95 (match) · 2931 history records