Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:21:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x1132…d778 crypto 113 markets active 2h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$617 (+16%) realized +$617 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%52W / 61L
Drawdown84%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day70.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$425
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -14.3% -22.5% 46% 44% +2.4%
≤30d 113 -14.3% -22.5% 46% 44% +2.4%
≤90d 113 -14.3% -22.5% 46% 44% +2.4%
all 113 -14.3% -22.5% 46% 44% +2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover70.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 44% +2.4%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 39% -7.4%
15% -36.6% 37% -16.4%
20% -42.9% 34% -24.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt +13% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -14% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$21 · ×1.56 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$617
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses52 / 61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)113 / 113
History coverage4d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day70.2
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 113 Trades
no open positions (59 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$31 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $104 +$90 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $104 +$170 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$60 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $108 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $103 +$68 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $206 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$93 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$70 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$43 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$47 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$22 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$21 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$42 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$49 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $55 +$56 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$32 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $130 −$125 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $109 −$105 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $57 +$45 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$49 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$15 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $193 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $46 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $275 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $112 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $27 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 270 history records