Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1136…0c2e
sports · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$976,279 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$854,223 · open −$122,056
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$265,543
Realized−$854,223
Unrealized−$122,056
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses12 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)22%
Est. fees paid−$33,957
Open positions8
Markets (closed)33 / 41
History coverage3d
Avg bet$53,896
Trades / day1154.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 8 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$844,979
7 days−$854,223
14 days−$854,223
30 days−$854,223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 47¢ $106,235 $94,013 −$12,223 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 85¢ 86¢ $68,400 $68,400 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 34¢ $58,998 $60,517 +$1,519 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 90¢ $18,200 $18,100 −$100 (-1%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 61¢ 62¢ $13,065 $13,428 +$363 (+3%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $6,250 $6,301 +$51 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 57¢ 2¢ $114,704 $3,000 −$111,704 (-97%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 68¢ 69¢ $1,747 $1,785 +$38 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 35¢ 0¢ $21,223 $0 −$21,223 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21,505 −$21,223 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $46,448 +$73,552 +158%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 12 $96,367 −$96,367 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $112,015 −$112,015 -100%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $636 −$636 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $57,866 −$57,866 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $114,098 −$114,098 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $114,875 −$114,875 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $87,020 +$64,375 +74%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $22,502 +$7,498 +33%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $81,222 +$98,592 +121%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $230,745 −$230,745 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $125,608 +$35,522 +28%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $9,508 −$2,847 -30%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $25,935 −$7,414 -29%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 11 $14,359 +$15,641 +109%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $152,250 −$152,250 -100%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $1,955 −$1,955 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $70,958 −$70,958 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $48,000 −$48,000 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $111,136 −$111,136 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $3,113 +$2,225 +72%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 10 $9,127 −$9,127 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $12,781 −$12,781 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $28,200 −$28,200 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $37,715 −$37,715 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $87,000 −$87,000 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $13,662 +$13,662 +100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $28,200 +$31,800 +113%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $4,267 +$4,441 +104%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 09 $19,151 −$316 -2%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $28,281 +$12,113 +43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2,509 +$103,879 +4140%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,049,831
other 2% +$73,552
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $3 0m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $626 0m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $36 0m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $266 2m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $5 2m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $50 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5,741 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 4m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $102 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $123 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $387 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $10 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $72 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 6m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $5 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $84 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $18 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $24 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $27 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $7 9m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $120 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $2 10m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 61¢ $75 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $88 11m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $6 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -54.7%
≤30d 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -54.7%
≤90d 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -54.7%
all 33 +33.2% +20.5% 36% 36% -54.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1154.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.5% 36% -54.7%
10% +9.0% 36% -59.0%
15% ← realistic here -1.6% 30% -63.0%
20% -11.2% 27% -66.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $265,542.80 · official $265,543.05 (match) · 3500 history records