Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x113b…2ca3
crypto · 221 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$601 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$601 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$601
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses68 / 153
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)221 / 221
History coverage3d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day203.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 221 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$513
7 days−$601
14 days−$601
30 days−$601
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$40 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$18 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$44 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$19 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$23 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$23 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$591
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $92 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $52 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $14 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $64 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $56 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $48 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $59 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $52 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $58 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $103 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $49 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $53 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $9 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 -16.8% -24.7% 31% 29% -21.7%
≤30d 221 -16.8% -24.7% 31% 29% -21.7%
≤90d 221 -16.8% -24.7% 31% 29% -21.7%
all 221 -16.8% -24.7% 31% 29% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover203.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.7% 29% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -32.0% 26% -29.2%
15% -38.5% 24% -36.0%
20% -44.6% 22% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 721 history records