Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:22:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1142…22f1
crypto · 353 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$73 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$75 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses200 / 142
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)342 / 353
History coverage94d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 11 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days−$1
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No 93¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No 91¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 94¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? No 93¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 94¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 94¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? No 93¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 94¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 94¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? No 94¢ 91¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $5 $0 +4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? Jun 07 $5 $0 +7%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $5 $0 +4%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 02 $5 $0 +7%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 01 $5 $0 +5%
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m Jun 01 $5 $0 +5%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $5 $0 +5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? May 31 $5 $0 +6%
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? May 31 $10 $0 +2%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 31 $5 $0 +6%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $5 $0 +5%
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m? May 31 $5 −$2 -30%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $5 +$4 +70%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $2 +$1 +40%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 30? May 30 $5 −$2 -34%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May May 30 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29? May 29 $5 −$5 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 29? May 29 $5 −$1 -25%
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? May 29 $5 $0 +6%
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $5 $0 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 28? May 28 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27? May 28 $5 $0 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27? May 27 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26? May 27 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26? May 27 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27? May 27 $5 −$1 -24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 26? May 26 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26? May 26 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 26 $16 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 26 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 26 $10 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26? May 26 $5 −$1 -16%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26? May 26 $5 −$2 -31%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 25 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24? May 25 $5 $0 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24? May 24 $4 +$1 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24? May 24 $5 $0 +6%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 24 $5 −$1 -12%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 24 $5 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026? May 24 $5 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$65
other 18% −$16
weather 5% $0
politics 4% +$3
culture 3% −$1
world 2% $0
sports 2% +$4
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr BUY No 93¢ $5 2h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr SELL No 98¢ $5 3h
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European countr BUY No 94¢ $5 4h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY No 93¢ $5 8h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 17h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL No 98¢ $5 21h
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 94¢ $5 35h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 93¢ $5 37h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 94¢ $5 42h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL No 98¢ $5 2d
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 93¢ $5 2d
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $5 2d
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL No 98¢ $5 2d
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 94¢ $5 2d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 SELL No 98¢ $5 2d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun SELL No 98¢ $5 3d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $5 4d
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? SELL No 98¢ $5 4d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $5 4d
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun BUY No 93¢ $5 6d
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? BUY No 92¢ $5 6d
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL No 100¢ $5 9d
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL No 98¢ $5 9d
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? SELL No 100¢ $5 10d
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? SELL No 98¢ $5 10d
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 99¢ $5 10d
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m SELL No 97¢ $5 11d
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL No 99¢ $5 11d
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? SELL No 99¢ $5 12d
Will Vasile Dîncu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? SELL No 100¢ $5 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +4.6% -5.3% 100% 0% -5.4%
≤30d 97 -3.8% -12.9% 75% 7% -12.3%
≤90d 280 +24.5% +12.6% 58% 31% -10.0%
all 342 +18.9% +7.6% 58% 35% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.6% 35% -11.1%
10% -2.7% 27% -19.6%
15% -12.1% 20% -27.4%
20% -20.7% 17% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.99 · official $55.99 (match) · 778 history records