Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:42:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1157…007f
crypto · 1072 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$124 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses551 / 520
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1071 / 1072
History coverage52d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1071 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$30
30 days−$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 45¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$124
culture 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -17.0% -24.9% 43% 43% -18.7%
≤30d 645 -21.7% -29.1% 36% 35% -21.6%
≤90d 1071 -11.8% -20.2% 51% 38% -14.8%
all 1071 -11.8% -20.2% 51% 38% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 38% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 24% -23.0%
15% -34.8% 23% -30.4%
20% -41.2% 18% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.08 · official $1.08 (match) · 2296 history records