Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1165…3538
crypto · 889 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$595 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$593 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$593
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses624 / 271
Open positions1
Markets (closed)895 / 889
History coverage29d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day76.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 895 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35
7 days−$251
14 days−$303
30 days−$593
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 70¢ 55¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$9 -1710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -846%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$41 -2717%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$7 +20051%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$9 -2292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$13 -3339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$524
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 556 +6.4% -3.8% 68% 60% -11.2%
≤30d 895 +4.2% -5.7% 70% 54% -12.4%
≤90d 895 +4.2% -5.7% 70% 54% -12.4%
all 895 +4.2% -5.7% 70% 54% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.7% 54% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 43% -20.7%
15% -23.0% 25% -28.4%
20% -30.5% 6% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.05 · official $5.05 (match) · 3500 history records