trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 32% | 32% | -18.6% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 35% | 30% | -18.5% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -9.5% | -18.1% | 35% | 30% | -18.5% |
| all | 30 | -16.4% | -24.4% | 37% | 33% | -21.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.4% | 33% | -21.4% |
| 10% | -31.6% | 27% | -28.9% |
| 15% | -38.2% | 23% | -35.8% |
| 20% | -44.3% | 20% | -42.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $41 | −$21 | -52% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $2 | +$3 | +125% |
| New Zealand to score first vs. Egypt? | Jun 22 | $2 | +$5 | +246% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $19 | +$39 | +203% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $6 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Iraq to score first vs. Norway? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$9 | +180% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$12 | +227% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$1 | +46% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Kings vs. Rockets | Feb 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | Feb 25 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will the State of the Union be 80 minutes or longer? | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State | Feb 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Feb 24 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| XRP Up or Down - February 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Feb 23 | $1 | +$1 | +91% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Feb 23 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |