Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x1186…ed95
sports · 75 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
−$43 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$156
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses31 / 41
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions3
Markets (closed)72 / 75
History coverage330d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 3 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$280
14 days+$336
30 days+$336
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 88¢ $100 $126 +$26 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 33¢ 26¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-23%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 9¢ 5¢ $25 $14 −$11 (-43%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Team Falcons (BO1) Imperial 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 GamerLegion 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 6? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $233 $0 −$233 (-100%)
Heat vs. Magic Heat 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sharks 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner TYLOO 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 Dubois 23¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 +$30 +99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$33 +64%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$4 -15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$19 -74%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $31 −$16 -52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 −$15 -42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $56 −$6 -11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $101 +$29 +29%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $463 +$62 +14%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $25 −$12 -49%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $101 +$39 +38%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $202 +$72 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $101 +$29 +29%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $59 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 −$8 -97%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $46 −$10 -22%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $25 +$18 +70%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $25 +$20 +78%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $66 +$32 +48%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $36 −$32 -89%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $36 −$30 -85%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -94%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $253 +$144 +57%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $31 −$16 -53%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $25 −$12 -48%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $15 +$8 +50%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$6 -61%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $66 +$27 +41%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $61 −$6 -11%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $25 +$33 +128%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $15 +$11 +69%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $25 +$15 +59%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $51 +$24 +47%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $41 +$28 +70%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $51 +$13 +25%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $36 −$20 -56%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $61 −$27 -45%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 04 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $101 +$63 +62%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $26 −$25 -98%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on De Dec 06 $233 −$233 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% +$236
tech 7% +$116
weather 6% −$233
world 4% −$134
other 3% $0
politics 1% +$8
economics 1% −$17
crypto 1% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $101 52m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 48¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $25 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $83 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL B8 31¢ $22 5h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $30 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $51 6h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 35¢ $25 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 10¢ $7 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 38¢ $25 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 18¢ $15 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $15 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 74¢ $35 21h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 33¢ $22 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 37¢ $25 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $20 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 36¢ $28 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 96¢ $130 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 96¢ $255 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 96¢ $5 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 96¢ $6 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL FUT Esports 28¢ $15 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 73¢ $202 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $10 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 45¢ $25 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 81¢ $246 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 41¢ $50 27h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 34¢ $25 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -23.2% -30.5% 41% 36% +2.1%
≤30d 49 -18.9% -26.6% 45% 41% +2.3%
≤90d 49 -18.9% -26.6% 45% 41% +2.3%
all 72 -21.7% -29.2% 43% 39% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.2% 39% -10.8%
10% -36.0% 36% -19.3%
15% -42.2% 32% -27.1%
20% -47.8% 18% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $156.04 · official $156.04 (match) · 173 history records