Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:09:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x118a…457e
sports · 470 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses274 / 192
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions4
Markets (closed)466 / 470
History coverage75d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 4 History 466 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$13
14 days−$113
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ 82¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 80¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 79¢ 78¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Linette (-1.5) vs Pohankova (+1.5) Pohankova 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 14 $17 +$7 +43%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 +$11 +109%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $1 $0 +27%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Set Handicap: Linette (-1.5) vs Pohankova (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $6 +$3 +54%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Inglis (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 +$8 +158%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $1 +$1 +62%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 04 $30 −$16 -51%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 03 $1 +$1 +114%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 Jun 02 $5 +$3 +67%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. B Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5) Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 01 $6 −$3 -51%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 Jun 01 $12 −$12 -100%
ITF Wichita: Eryn Cayetano vs Dana Guzman Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5 Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$27
other 19% −$22
crypto 8% +$14
world 5% +$7
politics 1% −$1
weather 0% $0
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) SELL T1 100¢ $24 1h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 70¢ $14 2h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 69¢ $2 2h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 80¢ $3 2h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ $3 2h
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main BUY Sean OMalley 79¢ $3 2h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 58¢ $1 2h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $2 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $8 22h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5 BUY Over 56¢ $1 22h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 59¢ $3 22h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $3 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 23h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 76¢ $3 39h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? SELL No 90¢ $1 39h
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 59¢ $4 42h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $3 42h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $5 42h
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) SELL Raducanu 100¢ $14 43h
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 60¢ $1 2d
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 78¢ $1 2d
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $3 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $3 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 59¢ $3 3d
Set Handicap: Linette (-1.5) vs Pohankova (+1.5) BUY Pohankova 69¢ $10 3d
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 72¢ $5 3d
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 71¢ $5 3d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 54¢ $5 3d
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin SELL Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 100¢ $9 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +5.3% -4.8% 63% 59% +0.2%
≤30d 144 -2.2% -11.5% 57% 52% -19.1%
≤90d 466 -0.4% -9.9% 59% 51% -11.1%
all 466 -0.4% -9.9% 59% 51% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 51% -11.1%
10% -18.5% 45% -19.7%
15% -26.4% 39% -27.4%
20% -33.6% 33% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.96 · official $10.96 (match) · 1062 history records