trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 100% | 0% | -7.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +14.9% | +3.9% | 100% | 50% | +5.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 67% | 33% | -4.3% |
| all | 18 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 72% | 44% | -4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 44% | -4.4% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 22% | -13.5% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 17% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 6% | -29.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $127 | $130 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $86 | $87 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 20 | $33 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $52 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $43 | +$8 | +18% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | May 28 | $57 | +$20 | +36% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 24 | $40 | −$14 | -34% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 17 | $11 | −$3 | -31% |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | Apr 17 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Apr 06 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 06 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 | Mar 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 19 | $101 | +$9 | +9% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Mar 01 | $24 | +$6 | +27% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $48 | +$22 | +45% |
| LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | Feb 04 | $4 | +$3 | +72% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 | Feb 03 | $8 | −$7 | -88% |
| Penguin listed on Binance by March 31? | Feb 03 | $21 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | Jan 31 | $145 | +$4 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | Jan 29 | $14 | +$2 | +18% |