trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 0% | 0% | -18.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +8.3% | -2.0% | 67% | 44% | -12.3% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 59% | 36% | -11.2% |
| all | 22 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 59% | 36% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.0% | 36% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -15.9% | 23% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 18% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 5% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | Yes | 69¢ | 69¢ | $159 | $161 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $3,236 | −$304 | -9% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $4,141 | −$906 | -22% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 05 | $1,900 | +$135 | +7% |
| Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia | Jun 05 | $9 | +$4 | +46% |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 04 | $6 | +$3 | +50% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 04 | $36 | −$12 | -32% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | Jun 04 | $16 | +$1 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 01 | $1,620 | +$280 | +17% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $2,724 | +$380 | +14% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | Apr 26 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Apr 26 | $40 | −$1 | -2% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner | Apr 26 | $51 | −$10 | -20% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 26 | $1,353 | −$30 | -2% |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner | Apr 26 | $244 | +$58 | +24% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner | Apr 25 | $141 | +$67 | +48% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner | Apr 25 | $13 | −$8 | -64% |
| Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag | Apr 25 | $82 | −$1 | -1% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | Apr 25 | $87 | +$63 | +72% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | Apr 25 | $171 | +$8 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 23 | $161 | +$6 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 22 | $71 | +$11 | +15% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Apr 20 | $66 | +$5 | +7% |