Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T13:28:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
11 0x11ac…b736 crypto 125 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$252 (+8%) realized +$252 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate80%100W / 25L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day34.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$69
7 days+$132
14 days+$159
30 days+$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +1.5% -8.2% 80% 41% -5.2%
≤30d 125 +2.6% -7.1% 80% 48% -5.1%
≤90d 125 +2.6% -7.1% 80% 48% -5.1%
all 125 +2.6% -7.1% 80% 48% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 48% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 26% -14.2%
15% -24.1% 14% -22.5%
20% -31.6% 3% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$14 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.45 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$252
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses100 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)125 / 125
History coverage9d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day34.8
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 125 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $138 −$77 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $70 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$20 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 26 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$13 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 26 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 −$13 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 23 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 23 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$4 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $54 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $13 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 412 history records