Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:51:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11b3…a48a
crypto · 1226 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$161 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$380 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$380
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses478 / 746
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1224 / 1226
History coverage13d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day132.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$209
14 days−$380
30 days−$380
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$15 +280%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$13 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$14 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$14 +223%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$12 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$11 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$15 +290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +198%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$397
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $12 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 579 -5.4% -14.4% 41% 40% -14.7%
≤30d 1224 -8.2% -17.0% 39% 37% -14.6%
≤90d 1224 -8.2% -17.0% 39% 37% -14.6%
all 1224 -8.2% -17.0% 39% 37% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 37% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 36% -22.7%
15% -32.2% 33% -30.2%
20% -38.8% 29% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.20 · official $7.60 · 2772 history records