trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Under | 33¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 25¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 54¢ | 0¢ | $70 | $0 | −$70 (-100%) |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Celtics | 68¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Bulls | 55¢ | 0¢ | $45 | $0 | −$45 (-100%) |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Under | 72¢ | 0¢ | $22 | $0 | −$22 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 62¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. 76ers | Rockets | 55¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage | KT Rolster | 64¢ | 0¢ | $29 | $0 | −$29 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Kings | Kings | 68¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner | DRX | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | DRX | 31¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Suns | Pistons | 62¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Rockets | Rockets | 59¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Hawks | 41¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | −$15 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$33 | +623% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | +$13 | +129% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $53 | +$64 | +121% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Feb 01 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Feb 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) | Jan 31 | $25 | +$17 | +66% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Jan 30 | $59 | −$33 | -57% |
| Pistons vs. Suns | Jan 29 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5) | Jan 29 | $46 | +$33 | +73% |
| LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Jan 29 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Jan 29 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Jan 29 | $10 | +$10 | +96% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Jan 28 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Rockets | Jan 28 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Jan 28 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Jan 28 | $50 | +$27 | +54% |
| Clippers vs. Jazz | Jan 28 | $50 | +$28 | +56% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 27 | $50 | −$4 | -7% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Jan 26 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25? | Jan 25 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Jan 24 | $70 | +$19 | +26% |
| Celtics vs. Nets | Jan 24 | $60 | +$19 | +32% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner | Jan 23 | $20 | +$9 | +47% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner | Jan 22 | $67 | +$44 | +65% |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group | Jan 22 | $54 | +$14 | +26% |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | Jan 22 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | Jan 22 | $100 | +$23 | +23% |
| Rockets vs. 76ers | Jan 22 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 222.5 | Jan 22 | $25 | +$15 | +58% |
| Raptors vs. Kings | Jan 22 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Grizzlies | Jan 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Jan 22 | $94 | +$66 | +70% |
| LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Jan 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner | Jan 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage | Jan 21 | $62 | +$23 | +37% |
| Heat vs. Kings | Jan 21 | $133 | +$89 | +66% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +164.6% | +139.4% | 80% | 80% | +87.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +164.6% | +139.4% | 80% | 80% | +87.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +164.6% | +139.4% | 80% | 80% | +87.7% |
| all | 38 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 50% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 50% | -5.1% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 50% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 39% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 34% | -30.1% |