Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11c0…6fdd
crypto · 83 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$9 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses27 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage5d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +322%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 33% -26.9%
≤30d 83 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 33% -26.9%
≤90d 83 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 33% -26.9%
all 83 -7.4% -16.2% 33% 33% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 33% -26.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 30% -33.9%
15% -31.5% 30% -40.3%
20% -38.3% 30% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 172 history records