Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:28:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11c3…2555
crypto · 698 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,639 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,642 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$5,642
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses412 / 762
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1174 / 698
History coverage6d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day277.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,462
7 days−$5,642
14 days−$5,642
30 days−$5,642
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 50¢ 86¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$49 -17416%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$5 -136%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$8 -142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$10 -105%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 21? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$64 -101%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$195
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-45.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1174 -39.3% -45.1% 35% 1% -30.3%
≤30d 1174 -39.3% -45.1% 35% 1% -30.3%
≤90d 1174 -39.3% -45.1% 35% 1% -30.3%
all 1174 -39.3% -45.1% 35% 1% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover277.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.1% 1% -30.3%
10% ← realistic here -50.4% 1% -36.9%
15% -55.2% 1% -43.0%
20% -59.6% 0% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.55 · official $9.15 (match) · 3500 history records