Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11d8…c809
tech · 10 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$12 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP tech specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses5 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $41 −$9 -23%
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility? Jun 12 $20 −$17 -85%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $74 +$16 +22%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? Jun 12 $57 −$3 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 70% +$14
tech 30% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 93¢ $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? SELL Yes 77¢ $1 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 78¢ $21 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? SELL Yes 42¢ $31 1h
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility? SELL Yes 11¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 99¢ $90 2h
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day BUY Up 58¢ $1 2h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 72¢ $14 2h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 80¢ $40 2h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? SELL Up 69¢ $54 2h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? BUY Up 72¢ $36 2h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 92¢ $18 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? BUY No 92¢ $1 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 92¢ $1 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 89¢ $1 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 73¢ $1 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 3h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 98¢ $1 3h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 73¢ $20 3h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? BUY Up 70¢ $20 3h
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility? BUY Yes 70¢ $20 3h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 53¢ $20 3h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 55¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -8.0% -16.7% 50% 10% -14.6%
≤30d 10 -8.0% -16.7% 50% 10% -14.6%
≤90d 10 -8.0% -16.7% 50% 10% -14.6%
all 10 -8.0% -16.7% 50% 10% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 10% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 0% -22.8%
15% -32.0% 0% -30.3%
20% -38.7% 0% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records