Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

11
0x11e1…5621
other · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,814 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,818 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$602
Realized−$1,818
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses1 / 9
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions3
Markets (closed)10 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$237
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 3 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,818
7 days−$1,818
14 days−$1,818
30 days−$1,818
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 93¢ 100¢ $561 $601 +$40 (+7%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $15 $1 −$14 (-94%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-89%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-95%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 88¢ 0¢ $617 $0 −$617 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 24¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 81¢ 0¢ $339 $0 −$339 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 18¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $398 $0 −$398 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $492 +$174 +36%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $403 −$398 -99%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $341 −$339 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $154 −$151 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $216 −$214 -99%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $49 −$48 -97%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $619 −$617 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $167 −$166 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $60 −$59 -99%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$608
other 40% −$1,230
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY No 93¢ $562 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 1¢ $2 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 3¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $663 12h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 13h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 13h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 13h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 13h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 81¢ $341 14h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $489 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 12¢ $91 15h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $394 15h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 24¢ $117 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 24¢ $95 17h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 24¢ $4 17h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 8¢ $49 17h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $63 17h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 88¢ $619 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $167 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $60 25h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 25h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 25h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-87.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -86.5% -87.7% 10% 10% -75.7%
≤30d 10 -86.5% -87.7% 10% 10% -75.7%
≤90d 10 -86.5% -87.7% 10% 10% -75.7%
all 10 -86.5% -87.7% 10% 10% -75.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -87.7% 10% -75.7%
10% ← realistic here -88.9% 10% -78.1%
15% -90.0% 10% -80.2%
20% -91.0% 0% -82.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $602.38 · official $602.38 (match) · 28 history records