Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T19:24:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
11 0x11e7…d3c2 crypto 713 markets active 0h ago coverage 54d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 54d only
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$806 (-8%) realized −$806 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate43%307W / 406L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day50.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$228
7 days+$228
14 days+$228
30 days+$228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$604
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +5.2% -4.8% 54% 49% -2.2%
≤30d 35 +5.2% -4.8% 54% 49% -2.2%
≤90d 713 -5.8% -14.8% 43% 38% -14.6%
all 713 -5.8% -14.8% 43% 38% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 38% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 32% -22.8%
15% -30.4% 24% -30.3%
20% -37.2% 20% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$6 · ×1.01 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$806
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses307 / 406
Open positions0
Markets (closed)713 / 713
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day50.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 713 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $61 +$39 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $57 +$43 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $58 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $102 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $38 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $65 +$35 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $66 +$34 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$17 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $58 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $40 +$10 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $102 +$48 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$15 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $54 +$46 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $119 −$69 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $66 +$34 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $28 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $116 +$134 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $137 +$13 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $258 −$58 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $114 −$14 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $158 −$58 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $131 −$31 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $265 −$15 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $141 +$109 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $115 +$35 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $60 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 29 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 29 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Apr 29 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Apr 29 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 29 $33 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Apr 29 $19 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Apr 29 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 29 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Apr 29 $14 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 29 $11 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Apr 29 $21 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Apr 29 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 29 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Apr 29 $16 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 29 $7 −$1 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $34 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $24 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $14 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $23 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records