trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +5.1% | -4.9% | 75% | 75% | +28.5% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -51.3% | -55.9% | 28% | 28% | -27.7% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -51.3% | -55.9% | 28% | 28% | -27.7% |
| all | 29 | -51.3% | -55.9% | 28% | 28% | -27.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.9% | 28% | -27.7% |
| 10% | -60.1% | 24% | -34.7% |
| 15% | -64.0% | 21% | -41.0% |
| 20% | -67.5% | 17% | -46.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $187 | $186 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $25 | +$14 | +55% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $61 | +$30 | +50% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $46 | −$45 | -98% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $81 | +$46 | +57% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 15? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $71 | +$76 | +106% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$53 | +172% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $58 | +$48 | +83% |
| Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel | Jun 10 | $20 | −$12 | -60% |
| Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $15 | +$5 | +34% |