trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 50% | +36.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -16.8% | -24.7% | 50% | 50% | +36.5% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -76.2% | -78.5% | 14% | 14% | -50.1% |
| all | 28 | -23.7% | -31.0% | 39% | 25% | -7.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.0% | 25% | -7.3% |
| 10% | -37.6% | 18% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -43.6% | 18% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -49.1% | 14% | -31.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $99 | −$97 | -98% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $944 | +$627 | +66% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 05 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Apr 05 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 05 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Mar 27 | $591 | −$591 | -100% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Mar 27 | $922 | −$922 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Mar 22 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Mar 01 | $690 | +$1,171 | +170% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 14 | $896 | +$384 | +43% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 29 | $878 | +$18 | +2% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Jan 22 | $1,998 | −$199 | -10% |
| Yoon arrested by January 31? | Jan 20 | $2,512 | −$2,512 | -100% |
| Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024? | Jan 06 | $398 | −$398 | -100% |
| Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024? | Jan 06 | $198 | −$120 | -61% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Dec 24 | $1,098 | +$154 | +14% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Dec 18 | $4,492 | +$246 | +6% |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Dec 11 | $199 | −$195 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview? | Dec 08 | $199 | −$178 | -89% |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary? | Nov 23 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary? | Nov 23 | $365 | +$915 | +251% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | Nov 22 | $1,999 | +$27 | +1% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 16 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State? | Nov 13 | $3,814 | +$543 | +14% |
| Trump wins every swing state? | Nov 13 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Nov 09 | $999 | −$7 | -1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Nov 08 | $2,700 | +$203 | +8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Nov 06 | $1,193 | +$2,625 | +220% |