trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| all | 5 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 100% | 0% | -5.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -5.8% | 0% | -5.8% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 0% | -14.8% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -23.1% | 0% | -23.1% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 0% | -30.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $3,520 | $3,540 | +$20 (+1%) |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | No | 72¢ | 74¢ | $1,120 | $1,159 | +$39 (+3%) |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $1,028 | $971 | −$57 (-6%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | No | 40¢ | 36¢ | $628 | $573 | −$55 (-9%) |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $21 | $21 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 87¢ | 86¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $8,693 | +$136 | +2% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $12,113 | +$650 | +5% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $5,037 | +$312 | +6% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $1,939 | +$43 | +2% |