trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 33% | 33% | -27.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -20.8% | -28.4% | 25% | 25% | -44.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 17% | 17% | -55.3% |
| all | 6 | -33.2% | -39.5% | 17% | 17% | -55.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.5% | 17% | -55.3% |
| 10% | -45.3% | 17% | -59.6% |
| 15% | -50.6% | 17% | -63.5% |
| 20% | -55.5% | 17% | -67.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $345 | $288 | −$58 (-17%) |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $16 | $1 | −$15 (-93%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 15¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 17¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 23¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-94%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-96%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $89 | −$89 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $94 | −$6 | -6% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $47 | +$48 | +103% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | May 20 | $105 | −$84 | -80% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of t | Apr 17 | $532 | −$516 | -97% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of | Apr 16 | $655 | −$123 | -19% |