Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x122d…175e
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$22
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses13 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)31 / 32
History coverage1d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day145.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 94¢ 86¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $432 +$185 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $213 −$39 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$16 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $181 +$57 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$54 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$18 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $257 +$90 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $184 −$83 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $155 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $158 −$35 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$47 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$51 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$22 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$14 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$35 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$25 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $258 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $14 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $43 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $276 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $29 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 39% -10.3%
≤30d 31 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 39% -10.3%
≤90d 31 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 39% -10.3%
all 31 -19.0% -26.7% 42% 39% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.7% 39% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 39% -18.9%
15% -40.1% 23% -26.7%
20% -46.0% 19% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.01 · official $24.07 · 176 history records