Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:31:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1244…43f8
crypto · 2044 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$817 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,216 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$1,216
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses1049 / 540
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1589 / 2044
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day147.4
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1589 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$842
7 days−$1,025
14 days+$1,147
30 days+$1,216
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 52¢ 64¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$2,106
other 3% −$351
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 -12.8% -21.1% 38% 37% -45.5%
≤30d 1589 +23.5% +11.8% 66% 64% +2.0%
≤90d 1589 +23.5% +11.8% 66% 64% +2.0%
all 1589 +23.5% +11.8% 66% 64% +2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.8% 64% +2.0%
10% ← realistic here +1.1% 61% -7.7%
15% -8.7% 56% -16.6%
20% -17.6% 49% -24.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.35 · official $6.35 (match) · 3500 history records