Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:41:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
12 0x1263…b826 crypto 1545 markets active 1h ago coverage 58d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 58d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,517 (-5%) realized −$4,517 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate67%1039W / 506L
Whale WR76%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$63per market
Trades / day51.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$399
7 days−$497
14 days−$1,184
30 days−$3,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5,977
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 -8.3% -17.0% 70% 49% -18.4%
≤30d 975 -8.6% -17.3% 70% 51% -14.4%
≤90d 1545 -8.1% -16.9% 67% 52% -15.2%
all 1545 -8.1% -16.9% 67% 52% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 52% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 35% -23.3%
15% -32.1% 22% -30.7%
20% -38.7% 13% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 76% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -7% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$59 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

58d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,517
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses1039 / 506
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1545 / 1545
History coverage58d ⚠
Avg bet$63
Trades / day51.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1545 Trades
no open positions (323 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $36 −$15 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $93 −$83 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $104 −$102 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $104 +$94 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $102 −$98 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $103 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $202 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $153 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$25 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $214 +$34 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $204 +$65 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $258 +$47 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 25 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $104 +$23 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 25 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 25 $103 +$79 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 25 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 25 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 25 $51 +$28 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 25 $204 +$51 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 25 $51 +$29 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 25 $205 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 25 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 25 $27 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 25 $52 +$8 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $198 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $138 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $108 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $110 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $78 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $110 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records