trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +19% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | May 26 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23? | May 23 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? | May 23 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | May 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 14 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw? | May 14 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026? | May 14 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their | May 14 | $1 | +$3 | +308% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | May 13 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | May 13 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31? | Mar 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | Mar 28 | $3 | −$1 | -32% |
| Will England win on 2026-03-27? | Mar 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 100% | 100% | +7.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 62% | 62% | -13.8% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 50% | 45% | -31.0% |
| all | 22 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 50% | 45% | -31.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.8% | 45% | -31.0% |
| 10% | -25.7% | 27% | -37.6% |
| 15% | -32.9% | 23% | -43.7% |
| 20% | -39.5% | 18% | -49.2% |