Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:15:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1279…8c10
crypto · 65 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$95 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$95 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$32
Realized−$95
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses41 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)62 / 65
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day84.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 3 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$95
7 days−$95
14 days−$95
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Over 92¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 Over 89¢ 88¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 0.5 Over 92¢ 90¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 94¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 90¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 89¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 91¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 92¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 93¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 90¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 93¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 95¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 12¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 11¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 93¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$51
other 23% −$44
sports 4% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 BUY Over 89¢ $10 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 6m
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $10 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 45m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 45m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 46m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 48m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -27.2% -34.1% 66% 23% -22.5%
≤30d 62 -27.2% -34.1% 66% 23% -22.5%
≤90d 62 -27.2% -34.1% 66% 23% -22.5%
all 62 -27.2% -34.1% 66% 23% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.1% 23% -22.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.4% 0% -29.9%
15% -46.2% 0% -36.7%
20% -51.5% 0% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.57 · official $30.73 (match) · 124 history records