Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:43:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x1283…d345
crypto · 385 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$5,302 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,777 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$4,777
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses282 / 103
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)385 / 385
History coverage15d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day88.4
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 385 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,622
7 days+$4,531
14 days+$4,833
30 days+$4,777
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $426 $0 −$426 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$4 -14%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $235 +$71 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$9 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$5 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $378 −$375 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $146 +$10 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $85 +$35 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $333 −$178 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $348 +$152 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$20 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $233 +$100 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$14 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$9 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$92 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $340 −$340 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $166 +$58 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$15 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$11 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $33 +$9 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$37 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$26 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$34 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$4 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,739 +$37 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,358 −$1,325 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $113 −$47 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$15 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$14 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $839 +$49 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $144 +$10 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $340 +$23 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $64 +$2 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1,700 +$379 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,301 +$19 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $405 +$28 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,398 +$102 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% +$1,540
other 13% +$3,237
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $6 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $16 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $18 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $17 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $13 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $16 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $19 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $93 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $17 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 284 +11.5% +0.9% 75% 61% +2.2%
≤30d 385 +8.4% -1.9% 73% 57% +1.4%
≤90d 385 +8.4% -1.9% 73% 57% +1.4%
all 385 +8.4% -1.9% 73% 57% +1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.9% 57% +1.4%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 48% -8.3%
15% -19.9% 31% -17.2%
20% -27.7% 18% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.64 · official $0.00 (match) · 1637 history records