Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12a8…2d05
crypto · 1259 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$538 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$538 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$538
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses689 / 517
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1206 / 1259
History coverage22d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day129.2
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$295
7 days−$100
14 days+$116
30 days+$538
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,006
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $18 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $19 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 367 -29.5% -36.2% 50% 50% -12.1%
≤30d 1206 +1.1% -8.5% 57% 57% -3.7%
≤90d 1206 +1.1% -8.5% 57% 57% -3.7%
all 1206 +1.1% -8.5% 57% 57% -3.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 57% -3.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 52% -12.9%
15% -25.2% 44% -21.3%
20% -32.6% 34% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records