Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:47:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12b6…d759
crypto · 778 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$214 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$214 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses361 / 416
Open positions0
Markets (closed)777 / 778
History coverage15d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day219.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 777 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$348
14 days−$206
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$10 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$15 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$5 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +171%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$16 +243%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$214
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 264 -9.8% -18.4% 37% 33% -27.5%
≤30d 777 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 39% -12.3%
≤90d 777 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 39% -12.3%
all 777 -4.2% -13.3% 46% 39% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 39% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 30% -20.7%
15% -29.2% 23% -28.4%
20% -36.1% 14% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records