Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:47:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12b7…1b0b
crypto · 281 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$10,588 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$182 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses164 / 117
Open positions0
Markets (closed)281 / 281
History coverage10d
Avg bet$162
Trades / day344.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 281 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$323
7 days+$369
14 days+$182
30 days+$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $310 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$42 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $261 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $215 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $320 +$34 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $122 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $231 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $328 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $298 +$45 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $340 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $108 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $215 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $225 +$36 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $117 +$24 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $221 +$46 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $220 +$45 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $86 +$14 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $77 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $133 −$11 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $129 +$19 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $153 −$8 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $116 +$37 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $147 −$28 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $223 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $189 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $325 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $82 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $380 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$182
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $295 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $45 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 205 +2.6% -7.2% 63% 11% -8.4%
≤30d 281 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 9% -9.2%
≤90d 281 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 9% -9.2%
all 281 +0.9% -8.7% 58% 9% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover344.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 9% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 2% -17.9%
15% -25.4% 2% -25.8%
20% -32.7% 2% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records