Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:48:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12c2…1381
crypto · 152 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
−$17,633 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17,634 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$17,634
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses90 / 380
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)470 / 152
History coverage5d
Avg bet$249
Trades / day649.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 470 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22,277
7 days−$17,634
14 days−$17,634
30 days−$17,634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Up 59¢ 60¢ $22 $23 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Down 24¢ 14¢ $8 $5 −$4 (-44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 73¢ 86¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Down 22¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $759 $0 −$759 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$10 -263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -319%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $141 −$141 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $216 −$216 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $217 −$217 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $171 −$171 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $299 −$299 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$23 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $139 −$139 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,505
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $61 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $92 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-60.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 470 -56.3% -60.5% 19% 17% -34.9%
≤30d 470 -56.3% -60.5% 19% 17% -34.9%
≤90d 470 -56.3% -60.5% 19% 17% -34.9%
all 470 -56.3% -60.5% 19% 17% -34.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover649.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.5% 17% -34.9%
10% ← realistic here -64.3% 16% -41.1%
15% -67.7% 14% -46.8%
20% -70.9% 10% -52.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.83 · official $33.50 · 3500 history records