trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -40.0% | -45.7% | 31% | 25% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -40.0% | -45.7% | 31% | 25% | -11.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -40.0% | -45.7% | 31% | 25% | -11.9% |
| all | 24 | -44.4% | -49.7% | 29% | 25% | -22.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.7% | 25% | -22.2% |
| 10% | -54.5% | 17% | -29.7% |
| 15% | -58.9% | 12% | -36.5% |
| 20% | -62.9% | 12% | -42.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | No | 88¢ | 86¢ | $78 | $77 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 47¢ | 45¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 42¢ | 39¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $6 | −$4 (-44%) |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Under | 54¢ | 54¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 20 | $69 | +$9 | +13% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 12.5 Total Corners AND Will Paraguay win on | Jun 20 | $9 | +$29 | +315% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$9 | +31% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 20 | $29 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $5 | +$4 | +93% |
| Igor Sergeyev: 3+ shots | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 0 Colombia? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Luis Díaz: 4+ shots | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10? | Nov 09 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09? | Nov 09 | $13 | +$3 | +19% |
| Will Fulham win on 2024-11-09? | Nov 09 | $5 | +$8 | +156% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 09 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Southampton win on 2024-11-09? | Nov 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace vs. Fulham end in a draw? | Nov 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brentford vs. Bournemouth end in a draw? | Nov 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-09? | Nov 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |