Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:32:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

12
0x12ee…94c1
crypto · 577 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$105 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$105 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses338 / 212
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions27
Markets (closed)550 / 577
History coverage157d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 27 History 550 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 54¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 60¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Jun 11 $75 −$18 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$87
other 3% −$2
politics 2% −$2
tech 1% −$3
world 1% −$2
sports 1% −$5
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $1 49m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 51m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 39¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -12.7% -21.0% 54% 10% -20.3%
≤30d 52 -12.7% -21.0% 54% 10% -20.3%
≤90d 52 -12.7% -21.0% 54% 10% -20.3%
all 550 -10.6% -19.1% 61% 30% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 30% -15.6%
10% -26.9% 16% -23.6%
15% -33.9% 8% -31.0%
20% -40.4% 5% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.29 · official $31.29 (match) · 1991 history records