Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:48:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x130e…ca89
crypto · 131 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$173 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$166 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$166
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses60 / 69
Open positions2
Markets (closed)129 / 131
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day219.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$166
7 days−$166
14 days−$166
30 days−$166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 71¢ 34¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-51%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 0¢ 64¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 66¢ 36¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$4 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$9 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$6 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$13 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$24 +116%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $34 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $27 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 -19.7% -27.3% 47% 40% -20.2%
≤30d 129 -19.7% -27.3% 47% 40% -20.2%
≤90d 129 -19.7% -27.3% 47% 40% -20.2%
all 129 -19.7% -27.3% 47% 40% -20.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.3% 40% -20.2%
10% ← realistic here -34.3% 33% -27.8%
15% -40.6% 26% -34.8%
20% -46.4% 20% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.34 · official $13.36 · 298 history records