Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1314…45c8
crypto · 727 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$152 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$152
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses240 / 487
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)727 / 727
Avg bet$6
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 727 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$376
7 days+$196
14 days−$64
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$9 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$391 +4590%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$12 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$151
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -3.7% -12.9% 51% 46% -12.2%
≤30d 727 -15.2% -23.3% 33% 28% -19.6%
≤90d 727 -15.2% -23.3% 33% 28% -19.6%
all 727 -15.2% -23.3% 33% 28% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 28% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 21% -27.3%
15% -37.3% 17% -34.3%
20% -43.5% 14% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1344 history records