Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1325…f2ae
sports · 344 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$180 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$18
Realized−$176
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses118 / 224
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions2
Markets (closed)342 / 344
History coverage131d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days−$29
14 days−$85
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-5%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Supernova vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season Blue Otter 26¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Disguised 41¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 37¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Shopify Rebellion 17¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 36¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Shifters 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team Solid vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Team Solid 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster 37¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 43¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs LOS 31¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: French Flair vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group E Orzeł Barcząca Esports $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 29¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 19¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Ground Zero Gaming 45¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Dignitas 26¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stage Dignitas 22¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Team Heretics 17¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Ultra Prime 22¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A ROSSMANN Centaurs $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +111%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$7 -68%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$7 +137%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +42%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $13 −$3 -21%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $9 −$7 -73%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Am Jun 07 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$2 +18%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 07 $11 +$6 +56%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$6 -62%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 30 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 +$9 +170%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 30 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 30 $5 −$4 -83%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 30 $20 −$10 -49%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $5 −$5 -98%
Valorant: MIBR vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs May 18 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season May 18 $10 −$7 -72%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 17 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Quali May 17 $5 +$3 +63%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $18 −$8 -42%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $5 +$13 +262%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season May 16 $10 −$5 -52%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season May 16 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 16 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qual May 16 $3 −$2 -67%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner May 16 $5 −$1 -17%
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular May 16 $14 +$18 +124%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifi May 16 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $3 $0 -12%
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season May 16 $2 −$2 -86%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 16 $3 +$5 +177%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 16 $4 +$7 +174%
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers L May 15 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Winthrop University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Chal May 15 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 14 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 13 $3 +$2 +69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$167
crypto 1% −$16
other 1% +$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $9 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $6 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 13¢ $3 7h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 8h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $2 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 92¢ $12 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $3 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 26h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $9 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $6 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 87¢ $6 2d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 3d
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Fluxo W7M 32¢ $5 4d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America SELL paiN Gaming 33¢ $10 5d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America BUY paiN Gaming 56¢ $3 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs SELL Cloud9 $2 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 17¢ $4 5d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America BUY paiN Gaming 37¢ $5 5d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America BUY paiN Gaming 37¢ $5 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 40¢ $5 5d
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Am BUY Leviatan Esports 15¢ $3 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 47¢ $8 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 36¢ $6 5d
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOUD 41¢ $8 5d
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOUD 21¢ $2 5d
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOUD 39¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -21.7% -29.2% 44% 38% -32.1%
≤30d 49 -34.9% -41.1% 27% 24% -40.3%
≤90d 252 -30.4% -37.0% 28% 27% -24.1%
all 342 -21.2% -28.7% 35% 31% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.7% 31% -16.2%
10% -35.5% 27% -24.2%
15% -41.8% 23% -31.5%
20% -47.5% 21% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.09 · official $18.09 (match) · 773 history records