Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:13:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
13 0x1334…6ad6 crypto 270 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (283 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$5 (+2%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate63%170W / 100L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day282.6pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$5
other 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (283 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 270 -1.9% -11.3% 63% 43% -11.3%
≤30d 270 -1.9% -11.3% 63% 43% -11.3%
≤90d 270 -1.9% -11.3% 63% 43% -11.3%
all 270 -1.9% -11.3% 63% 43% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover282.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 43% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 24% -19.8%
15% -27.5% 6% -27.5%
20% -34.6% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses170 / 100
Open positions0
Markets (closed)270 / 270
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day282.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 270 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -43%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -35%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -69%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +32%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -59%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -32%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 14m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 39m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 43m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 43m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 43m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 44m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 540 history records