Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

13
0x1335…fac5
crypto · 82 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$281 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,805 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$182
Realized+$1,805
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses66 / 11
Open positions5
Markets (closed)77 / 82
History coverage104d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 81¢ 84¢ $81 $84 +$4 (+4%)
Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 92¢ 92¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $36 $35 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Apr 27 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 25 $143 +$208 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Apr 24 $157 −$151 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Apr 22 $150 +$221 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Apr 22 $44 +$67 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Apr 21 $105 −$99 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Apr 21 $15 +$28 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 21 $9 +$30 +325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Apr 21 $5 +$30 +616%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 22 $5 +$30 +601%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 22 $5 +$30 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 22 $4 +$30 +672%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 22 $5 +$29 +598%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 22 $5 +$25 +530%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 22 $5 +$30 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Mar 21 $10 +$30 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 20 $24 +$29 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 20 $15 +$30 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Mar 20 $15 +$30 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +638%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +601%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 20 $10 +$30 +304%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +587%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +577%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +597%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +656%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Mar 20 $4 +$30 +663%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Mar 20 $14 +$30 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +630%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Mar 20 $15 +$29 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Mar 20 $19 +$28 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$31 +620%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Mar 20 $8 +$29 +349%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Mar 20 $25 +$29 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Mar 20 $24 +$30 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Mar 20 $10 +$28 +283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 20 $10 +$31 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +622%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Mar 20 $10 +$50 +514%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 20 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Mar 20 $25 +$30 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +601%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Mar 20 $7 +$30 +441%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +574%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +610%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +569%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$30 +610%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 20 $5 +$31 +607%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 14 $5 +$29 +588%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% +$1,805
other 12% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 92¢ $46 1h
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? BUY Yes 71¢ $36 1h
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 25¢ $13 1h
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 81¢ $81 1h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $50 47d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $36 47d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $143 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $157 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $150 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $44 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $105 53d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $4 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $4 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $4 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $4 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 83d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $5 84d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 84d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $5 84d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 84d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 84d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 84d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +79%
net ROI/market (all)+267.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 49 +393.5% +346.5% 94% 94% +124.4%
all 77 +306.2% +267.5% 86% 79% +118.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +267.5% 79% +118.4%
10% +232.3% 78% +97.5%
15% +200.2% 74% +78.5%
20% +170.8% 71% +61.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $182.47 · official $182.47 (match) · 570 history records